Is Trump Doing a George Bush with Iran?

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fountainhall
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Joined: Fri Jan 27, 2017 11:45 am
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Is Trump Doing a George Bush with Iran?

Post by fountainhall » Tue May 14, 2019 2:39 pm

One thing is clear. Trump is doing almost everything he can to provoke Iran. Spurred by his hawks, the region is now less stable than for years.

Trump's strings are obviously being pulled by Pompeo and regime-change tyrant Bolton. (Did he not learn any lessons from the disaster in Iraq?) But Israel and Sunni Saudi Arabia are equally part of that mix and want nothing more than to see Shi'ite Iran's wings clipped if not eliminated. There is surely little doubt those countries that Trump courted during his election campaign helped persuade him to pull out of the Iran nuclear deal, thereby screwing the USA's negotiating partners China, Russia, Britain, France and Germany. To believe, as Trump has declared, that he can make a better deal to ensure that its nuclear programme is jettisoned, is facile in the extreme. Most international commentators and Middle East experts agree it would have been far better to stay in the deal and use diplomacy and carrots to enhance it. I suspect Trump is clueless as to what diplomacy means!

It's hard to believe that without Netanyahu and MBS Trump would go this far in a campaign against Iran. Having visited Iran 18 months ago, it was clear from my guides (from a private company) and the few Iranians I spoke to at length that there is little love within the country for their theocratic regime. Equally Iranians are a proud people with thousands of years of history and an immense cultural influence that extended as far away as China. If their country is challenged, in my view Iranians will likely rally around the regime. They will not be bullied.

Iranians also have little love for the USA which has interfered in its affairs for almost 70 years. It was the USA along with the British who engineered the coup that led to the ouster of the country's democratically elected President in 1953. It was the western powers who propped up the Shah and his hated Savak Security Police. Had the west left the country alone, it is probably unlikely that Khomeini and his religious fanatics would have gained the support they did.

When Saddam Hussein invaded Iran, it was Iraq that the west supported and equipped with arms during that 8-year pointless war that killed 1 million Iranians.

Iran has clearly been interfering in the affairs of other Middle East countries. But the various sanctions that have been imposed over several years only affect the people. The regime with its corruption eat caviar and kebabs in their ivory towers.

Pompeio's recent and sudden changes of itineraries, with the media advised they could not report locations, could well have been a pantomime to start the drama of a war with Iran. With a US aircraft carrier now in the Gulf the recent incident involving damage to four commercial ships - “sabotage” as claimed by the UAE - has ratcheted up tensions, even though these took place almost 150 kms outside the Persian Gulf and the Straits of Hormuz. Damage was minimal and no casualties or injuries were reported. All of which seems to suggest that some actor in this drama is attempting to create an incident as a pretext for further action.

Many countries technically and actually at war resort to this tactic. We now know from Robert McNamara's confessions and the declassified reports of The Gulf of Tonkin incident during the Vietnam War, the action which finally persuaded President Johnson to bomb North Vietnam, was almost totally a work of fiction. Iraq's weapons of mass destruction was another fiction. Condoleezza Rice's televised soon-ridiculed suggestion of mushroom clouds over Iraq was a deliberate ploy to scare a gullible public and stampede Congress to support was in Iraq.

Something is just over the horizon with Iran. Nothing like a nice little war and the dropping of precision-targeted bombs on another country to prop up an administration's short-time popularity and distract from other pressing issues. Will there be war? I have absolutely no idea. But the elastic bands tethering Trump to a Netanyahu under indictment for bribery, fraud and breach of trust, and an MBS whose credibility seems to be waning by the day in his own country, ought to be stretching to breaking point. He needs a win - somewhere.

fountainhall
Posts: 2036
Joined: Fri Jan 27, 2017 11:45 am
Location: Bangkok

Re: Is Trump Doing a George Bush with Iran?

Post by fountainhall » Wed May 15, 2019 2:11 pm

Apologies. In paragraph 4 above, the reference to the ouster of Iran's democratically elected President should read Prime Minister.

firecat69
Posts: 845
Joined: Sun Aug 01, 2010 7:29 am

Re: Is Trump Doing a George Bush with Iran?

Post by firecat69 » Thu May 16, 2019 12:42 am

Could be exactly what he is doing . The Moron cancelled the deal and now he is surprised if they start up their nuclear program. Maybe we can send Iran engineers from Boeing and possibly they could blow themselves up .

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